Aug 30, 2019
2 min

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (NASDAQ: OLLI) 2Q19 Results: Revenues and Comps Fall Short of Consensus; Guidance Lowered

Insight Report
Company Earning Updates

albert Chan
[caption id="attachment_95459" align="aligncenter" width="700"] *EPS is adjusted for tax benefits pertaining to stock-based compensation Source: Company reports/Coresight Research[/caption] 2Q19 Results Ollie’s reported 2Q19 revenues of $333.9 million, up 15.9% but missing the $339.8 million consensus estimate. The sales increase was driven by strong performance in new stores.  Gross margin was 37.2%, down 194 basis points versus the year-ago quarter as both merchandise margin and supply chain costs as a percentage of net sales compared unfavorably to last year. Comps decreased 1.7%, compared to a 4.4% increase in the year-ago quarter and short of the 1.9% consensus estimate. Adjusted EPS was $0.35, down 10.5% and missing the consensus estimate by 11 cents, excluding tax benefits pertaining to stock-based compensation. GAAP EPS was $0.38, down 16.2% from $0.45 in the year-ago quarter. Details from the Quarter
  • Management commented that comparable sales in the quarter were impacted considerably by cannibalization of sales by Toys “R” Us locations that the company acquired last year; the normalization of some store classes that reported strong productivity last year as they entered the comp store base; and, reduced comp store inventory levels through most of the quarter.
  • Ollie’s opened eight stores during the quarter, ending the quarter with 332 stores in 23 states, an increase of 17.7% year on year.
  • Operating margin declined 289 basis points to 9.2% in the quarter, compared to 12.1% in the year-ago quarter, owing to a decline in gross margin and the deleveraging of SG&A.
  • Inventory increased 23.4% at the end of the quarter compared to the year-ago quarter, mainly attributed to growth in new stores and the timing of deal flow.
  • Capital expenditure grew to $20.2 million in the quarter, compared to $5.5 million in the same quarter last year, due mainly to investments in the company’s third distribution center, new stores and maintenance capital.
Outlook The company lowered guidance for 2019, as follows:
  • Revenues of $1.42-1.43 billion, up 14-15% and in line with the $1.43 billion consensus, down from the $1.44-1.45 billion guidance provided in 1Q19.
  • Opening 42 new stores and no planned relocations or closures.
  • Comps to decrease 0.5-1.5%, revised down from previous guidance of an increase of 1-2%.
  • Adjusted EPS of $1.95-2.00, up 7-9% and below the $2.05 consensus estimate; down from previous guidance of $2.13-2.17.
  • Capital expenditure of $75-80 million.

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