[caption id="attachment_98117" align="aligncenter" width="700"]
Source: Company reports/Coresight Research[/caption]
3Q19 Results
IBM reported 3Q19 revenues of $18.03 billion, down 3.9% year over year and below the $18.22 billion consensus estimate.
Management highlighted strong performance in cloud, data/AI, security and digital, led by the Cloud & Cognitive Software and Global Business Services segments. The company also highlighted momentum in hybrid cloud, including Red Hat.
Adjusted EPS was $2.68, down 21.6% from the year-ago quarter and beating the consensus of $2.66. GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $1.87, compared to $2.94 in the year-ago quarter.
Red Hat Update
- Revenues grew 19% as reported and 20% adjusted for currency.
- The unit signed more than 20 deals in 3Q19 (which fall within the Global Business segment).
- Red Hat recorded double digit growth in Infrastructure, led by the Red Hat Linux operating system (RHEL), in addition to continued strong growth in App Dev emerging technology, led by OpenShift and Ansible.
- The unit is offering innovation by leveraging the Linux operating system, containers and Kubernetes (an open-source software orchestration system).
- Red Hat is also adding new OpenShift clients, expanding with existing Red Hat clients and aggressively hiring to address client demand. Employee attrition is stable.
Results by Segment
Segment performance was as follows:
[caption id="attachment_98122" align="aligncenter" width="700"]
Source: Company reports/Coresight Research
Note: Gross margins are GAAP [/caption]
Cloud & Cognitive Software (including Red Hat)
- Growth was led by led by security, IoT, data, AI platforms and hybrid cloud.
- IBM recorded $20 billion in cloud revenue over the last 12 months and more than 60% growth in cloud signings.
- Cloud and data platforms grew 17% (up 19% adjusting for currency).
- Cognitive applications grew 4% (up 6% adjusting for currency).
- Transaction processing platforms declined 5% (down 4% adjusting for currency).
Global Business Services (includes consulting, application management and global process services)
- Revenues grew 1.0% (up 2.2 % adjusting for currency), led by growth in consulting, up 4% (up 5% adjusting for currency).
Global Technology Services (includes infrastructure and cloud services and technology support services)
- Revenues declined 14.7% (down 13.8% adjusting for currency), due to the end of the product cycle for the IBM z14 enterprise computing platform. The new IBM z15 began shipping in the last week of September. IBM is launching a cloud-native, modernized software portfolio.
Global Financing (includes financing and used equipment sales)
- Revenues declined 11.7% (down 10.7% adjusting for currency), reflecting the wind-down of OEM commercial financing.
Implications for Retail
The newly created cloud and cognitive software segment combines software for hybrid cloud management with data and AI platforms. It also includes solutions for specific verticals and domains, such as retail. These platforms are increasingly being infused with AI. Management also reported strong growth in verticals such as Watson Health, supply chain and weather.
Outlook
IBM reaffirmed its 2019 adjusted EPS guidance of at least $12.80, adjusted downward by $1.10 on August 2 to account for the Red Hat acquisition.
The company expects the acquisition to dilute free cash flow nominally in 2H19 and become accretive in 2020.