[caption id="attachment_95532" align="aligncenter" width="700"]
Source: Company reports/Coresight Research[/caption]
2Q19 Results
Dollar Tree reported 2Q19 revenues of $5.74 billion, up 3.9% year over year and slightly above the $5.72 consensus estimate.
Enterprise comps increased 2.4%, beating the 1.9% consensus estimate; Dollar Tree comps grew 2.4%, short of the 2.8% consensus; and, Family Dollar comps increased 2.4%, beating the consensus estimate of 1.2%.
EPS was $0.76, down 34.1% and below the $0.83 consensus.
Details from the Quarter
- 2Q19 represented the 46th consecutive quarter of positive comps for the company.
- Gross margin declined to 28.7% compared to 30.1% in the year-ago quarter, which the company attributed to a 55-basis-point (bps) increase in merchandise costs, including freight;
- SG&A expenses grew as a result of higher operating and corporate expenses related to the consolidation of store support centers, asset write-offs related to store closures and an increase in payroll costs due to higher average hourly rates and store-level initiatives.
- The company opened 150 stores, expanded or relocated 19 stores, and re-bannered 106 Family Dollar stores to the Dollar Tree brand during the quarter. It also closed 305 stores, including 296 Family Dollar and nine Dollar Tree stores.
- The company converted 542 Family Dollar stores to the H2 format, which features a $1.00 Dollar Tree merchandise section and includes more freezer and cooler doors.
- At the end of the quarter, Dollar Tree operated 15,115 stores, including 7,306 Dollar Tree and 7,809 Family Dollar stores.
Outlook
In 2019, the company plans to increase planned Family Dollar H2 renovations by 150 stores with most scheduled for the third quarter.
FY19 guidance:
- Net sales of $23.57-23.79 billion (up 3.3-4.2%), based on a low single-digit increase in comps and approximately 1.3% square footage growth; in line with the consensus of $23.72 billion.
- EPS of $4.90-5.11, which includes discrete costs of $0.28 per share and approximately $0.05 per diluted share in costs incurred on store closures, in line with the consensus estimate of $5.11.
3Q19 guidance:
- Net sales of $5.66-5.77 billion (up 2.2-4.2%), in line with the $5.75 consensus estimate, based on a low single-digit increase in comps for the enterprise.
- EPS of $1.07-1.16, below the $1.13 consensus estimate.